Everton 0-2 Nottingham Forest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 29 Dec 2024

📅29/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.48
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.45
6+ Goals
9%
23.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.83
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.35
X/1
12%
5.33
X/2
11%
5.73
X/X
10%
3.84
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
16%
4.25
2/X
9%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.6pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.3pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.3pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Everton EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Nottingham Forest EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +35% / +35%
1.26/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/0.75
-31% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +117%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
297 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 75%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
21.7 Crosses 17.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Everton
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Nottingham Forest
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.05 xG 0.88
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
269 Passes 412
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2024 Everton Everton 2-0 HT 1-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
02.12.2023 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 0-1 HT 0-0 Everton Everton İNP
05.03.2023 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 2-2 HT 1-2 Everton Everton İNP
20.08.2022 Everton Everton 1-1 HT 0-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Everton
0-2
AWAY Nottingham Forest
0.89 xG 1.53
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
391 Passes 196
81% Pass Accuracy 68%
28 Box Touches 12
34 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Everton vs Nottingham Forest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nottingham Forest beat Everton 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Nottingham Forest found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Everton had 64% of the ball to Nottingham Forest's 36%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 0.89 to 1.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Everton had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Everton and 0.75 for Nottingham Forest.

What was the final score of Everton vs Nottingham Forest?

Everton 0-2 Nottingham Forest in the England - Premier League on 29/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Everton vs Nottingham Forest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Everton win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Everton 37%, draw 27%, Nottingham Forest 36%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Everton) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Everton) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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