West Ham United 0-5 Liverpool — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 29 Dec 2024

📅29/12/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.4
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
50%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.63
Over 2.5
65%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.61
No
41%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.84
2-3 Goals
32%
2.03
4-5 Goals
30%
2.51
6+ Goals
18%
5.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
10.0
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
19.6
1/X
10%
18.05
X/1
8%
14.7
X/2
12%
3.87
X/X
10%
7.85
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
27%
1.68
2/X
4%
18.0
Value flag · 1/2 at 19.6 — our 11% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
15%
+10.3pp
25%
Draw
19%
+5.6pp
50%
Away Win
66%
-15.9pp
35%
Under 2.5
34%
+0.8pp
65%
Over 2.5
66%
-0.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.9pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME West Ham United EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool EU Bookmakers 70%
+6% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +4%
0.85/2.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.14/1.16
+20% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -11%
32% Ball Possession 68%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
201 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 540 · 86%
15.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 37.7
15.7 Crosses 21.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME West Ham United
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Liverpool
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.85 xG 2.39
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 24
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
262 Passes 571
75% Pass Accuracy 88%
18 Box Touches 42
14 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
25.09.2024 Liverpool Liverpool 5-1 HT 1-1 West Ham United West Ham United İNLK
27.04.2024 West Ham United West Ham United 2-2 HT 1-0 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
20.12.2023 Liverpool Liverpool 5-1 HT 1-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNLK
24.09.2023 Liverpool Liverpool 3-1 HT 1-1 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
26.04.2023 West Ham United West Ham United 1-2 HT 1-1 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
19.10.2022 Liverpool Liverpool 1-0 HT 1-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME West Ham United
0-5
AWAY Liverpool
0.36 xG 3.15
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 22
0 Shots on Target 13
2 Corners 6
399 Passes 475
86% Pass Accuracy 88%
17 Box Touches 44
9 Crosses 22
POST-MATCH West Ham United vs Liverpool
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool cruised past West Ham United 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Liverpool as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (65%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

On the day, West Ham United had 46% of the ball to Liverpool's 54%, shots finished 7-22, expected goals 0.36 to 3.15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for West Ham United and 3.00 for Liverpool.

What was the final score of West Ham United vs Liverpool?

West Ham United 0-5 Liverpool in the England - Premier League on 29/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for West Ham United vs Liverpool?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split West Ham United 26%, draw 25%, Liverpool 50%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Liverpool) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
29 Dec 2024
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