Liverpool 5-1 West Ham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - League Cup, 25 Sep 2024

📅25/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.74
Over 2.5
60%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.56
2-3 Goals
39%
2.14
4-5 Goals
26%
2.5
6+ Goals
15%
5.19
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.59
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
18.95
X/1
20%
3.8
X/2
8%
15.8
X/X
7%
8.37
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
19.1
2/2
10%
10.6
2/X
6%
18.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.1 — our 8% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
68%
-11.1pp
21%
Draw
18%
+2.7pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+8.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
33%
+6.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
67%
-6.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.2pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY West Ham United EU Bookmakers 17%
-11% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
2.26/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/2.21
-4% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -40%
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
504 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 72%
44.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
29.4 Crosses 16.2
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool
5W-1D-0L
AWAY West Ham United
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.36 xG 0.97
66% Ball Possession 34%
24 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
593 Passes 257
87% Pass Accuracy 74%
42 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
27.04.2024 West Ham United West Ham United 2-2 HT 1-0 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
20.12.2023 Liverpool Liverpool 5-1 HT 1-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNLK
24.09.2023 Liverpool Liverpool 3-1 HT 1-1 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
26.04.2023 West Ham United West Ham United 1-2 HT 1-1 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
19.10.2022 Liverpool Liverpool 1-0 HT 1-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
05.03.2022 Liverpool Liverpool 1-0 HT 1-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool
5-1
AWAY West Ham United
2.64 xG 0.57
61% Ball Possession 39%
21 Total Shots 12
11 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
487 Passes 260
91% Pass Accuracy 78%
36 Box Touches 34
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Liverpool vs West Ham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool ran out comfortable winners over West Ham United 5-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Liverpool as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Liverpool had 61% of the ball to West Ham United's 39%, shots finished 21-12, expected goals 2.64 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Liverpool and 0.83 for West Ham United.

What was the final score of Liverpool vs West Ham United?

Liverpool 5-1 West Ham United in the England - League Cup on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool vs West Ham United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Liverpool 57%, draw 21%, West Ham United 22%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Liverpool) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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