West Ham United 2-2 Liverpool — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 27 Apr 2024

West Ham United
2-2 HT 1-0
Liverpool
📅27/04/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
England - Premier League – 2023/2024

West Ham United vs Liverpool Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.48
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
54%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.89
Over 2.5
62%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.49
No
43%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.73
2-3 Goals
35%
2.15
4-5 Goals
29%
2.49
6+ Goals
15%
5.04
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.33
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
18.45
1/X
6%
15.65
X/1
9%
11.55
X/2
12%
4.14
X/X
9%
7.49
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
31%
1.86
2/X
6%
15.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 18.45 — our 11% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
19%
+5.4pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.5pp
54%
Away Win
60%
-5.9pp
38%
Under 2.5
31%
+7.3pp
62%
Over 2.5
69%
-7.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
63%
-6.3pp
43%
BTTS No
37%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

West Ham United v Liverpool — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME West Ham United EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool EU Bookmakers 64%
+8% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +8%
1.19/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.15
+36% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -3%
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
254 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 538 · 85%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 36.3
17.7 Crosses 21.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7

West Ham United vs Liverpool Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME West Ham United
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Liverpool
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.02 xG 2.27
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
261 Passes 593
74% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 40
14 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
20.12.2023 Liverpool Liverpool 5-1 HT 1-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNLK
24.09.2023 Liverpool Liverpool 3-1 HT 1-1 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
26.04.2023 West Ham United West Ham United 1-2 HT 1-1 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
19.10.2022 Liverpool Liverpool 1-0 HT 1-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
05.03.2022 Liverpool Liverpool 1-0 HT 1-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
07.11.2021 West Ham United West Ham United 3-2 HT 1-1 Liverpool Liverpool İNP

West Ham United 2-2 Liverpool — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME West Ham United
2-2
AWAY Liverpool
0.70 xG 1.75
29% Ball Possession 71%
11 Total Shots 28
8 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
183 Passes 587
69% Pass Accuracy 87%
21 Box Touches 57
15 Crosses 32
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH West Ham United vs Liverpool
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

West Ham United and Liverpool couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Liverpool at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, West Ham United had 29% of the ball to Liverpool's 71%, shots finished 11-28, expected goals 0.70 to 1.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for West Ham United and 2.33 for Liverpool.

What was the final score of West Ham United vs Liverpool?

West Ham United 2-2 Liverpool in the England - Premier League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for West Ham United vs Liverpool?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split West Ham United 25%, draw 21%, Liverpool 54%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Liverpool) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liverpool) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
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