Everton vs Brentford Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Everton v Brentford — Team-Based Signals
Everton vs Brentford Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 1-1
Everton
İNP
1-0
HT 1-0
Brentford
İNP
1-1
HT 0-1
Everton
İNP
2-3
HT 2-1
Brentford
İNP
4-1
HT 1-0
Brentford
FAK
1-0
HT 1-0
Everton
İNP
Everton 1-0 Brentford — Actual Match Statistics
Everton edged past Brentford 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Everton found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Everton had 47% of the ball to Brentford's 53%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 0.86 to 0.88.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Everton had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Everton and 1.17 for Brentford.
What was the final score of Everton vs Brentford?
Everton 1-0 Brentford in the England - Premier League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Everton vs Brentford?
Before kick-off our model rated a Everton win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Everton 38%, draw 27%, Brentford 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Everton), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.