Newcastle United 5-1 Sheffield United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.28
Draw
22%
5.28
Away
18%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.98
Over 2.5
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
7.68
2-3 Goals
34%
2.27
4-5 Goals
31%
2.41
6+ Goals
15%
4.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.38
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
9%
24.45
X/1
22%
3.66
X/2
9%
23.6
X/X
10%
10.55
2/1
8%
19.5
2/2
5%
15.65
2/X
4%
23.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
74%
-13.3pp
22%
Draw
16%
+6.4pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+7.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.2pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newcastle United EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Sheffield United EU Bookmakers 14%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
2.29/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.98
-9% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -7%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
486 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 74%
37.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
24.4 Crosses 10.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newcastle United
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Sheffield United
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.76 xG 1.15
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
335 Passes 445
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2023 Sheffield United Sheffield United 0-8 HT 0-3 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
19.05.2021 Newcastle United Newcastle United 1-0 HT 1-0 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNP
12.01.2021 Sheffield United Sheffield United 1-0 HT 0-0 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
21.06.2020 Newcastle United Newcastle United 3-0 HT 0-0 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNP
05.12.2019 Sheffield United Sheffield United 0-2 HT 0-1 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
26.07.2015 Sheffield United Sheffield United 2-2 HT 0-1 Newcastle United Newcastle United HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newcastle United
5-1
AWAY Sheffield United
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
499 Passes 318
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
POST-MATCH Newcastle United vs Sheffield United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle United cruised past Sheffield United 5-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Newcastle United as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Newcastle United had 60% of the ball to Sheffield United's 40%, shots finished 20-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newcastle United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Newcastle United and 0.50 for Sheffield United.

What was the final score of Newcastle United vs Sheffield United?

Newcastle United 5-1 Sheffield United in the England - Premier League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newcastle United vs Sheffield United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newcastle United win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Newcastle United 60%, draw 22%, Sheffield United 18%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newcastle United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Newcastle United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNP More England - Premier League
27 Apr 2024
14:30 West Ham United vs Liverpool Analysis →
17:00 Manchester United vs Burnley Analysis →
17:00 Fulham vs Crystal Palace Analysis →
17:00 Wolverhampton vs Luton Town Analysis →
19:30 Everton vs Brentford Analysis →
22:00 Aston Villa vs Chelsea Analysis →