Fulham 1-1 Crystal Palace — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 27 Apr 2024

Fulham
1-1 HT 0-0
Crystal Palace
📅27/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - Premier League – 2023/2024

Fulham vs Crystal Palace Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.44
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.46
6+ Goals
11%
13.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.46 — our 26% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.77
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.25
X/1
12%
4.58
X/2
10%
7.12
X/X
12%
4.76
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
24.85
2/2
13%
5.15
2/X
9%
13.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.85 — our 9% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.4pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.6pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.1pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fulham v Crystal Palace — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fulham EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Crystal Palace EU Bookmakers 31%
+13% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -7%
1.95/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.39
+50% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
372 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 75%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
24.6 Crosses 14.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9

Fulham vs Crystal Palace Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fulham
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Crystal Palace
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.32 xG 1.20
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
456 Passes 298
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 18
25 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
23.09.2023 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0-0 HT 0-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
20.05.2023 Fulham Fulham 2-2 HT 1-1 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
26.12.2022 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0-3 HT 0-1 Fulham Fulham İNP
28.02.2021 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0-0 HT 0-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
24.10.2020 Fulham Fulham 1-2 HT 0-1 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
02.02.2019 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 2-0 HT 1-0 Fulham Fulham İNP

Fulham 1-1 Crystal Palace — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fulham
1-1
AWAY Crystal Palace
1.14 xG 1.01
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 9
417 Passes 363
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fulham vs Crystal Palace
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fulham and Crystal Palace couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Fulham at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Fulham had 54% of the ball to Crystal Palace's 46%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 1.14 to 1.01.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crystal Palace led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fulham and 1.00 for Crystal Palace.

What was the final score of Fulham vs Crystal Palace?

Fulham 1-1 Crystal Palace in the England - Premier League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fulham vs Crystal Palace?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fulham win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Fulham 41%, draw 30%, Crystal Palace 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fulham), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fulham) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
27 Apr 2024
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