Fulham 2-2 Bournemouth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 29 Dec 2024

📅29/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.5
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.23
6+ Goals
11%
11.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.11
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
7%
12.45
X/1
13%
5.13
X/2
8%
6.71
X/X
16%
4.69
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
20%
4.57
2/X
5%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.9pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fulham EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Bournemouth EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +23%
1.60/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.26
+42% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
396 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.1
22.4 Crosses 20.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fulham
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Bournemouth
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.27 xG 1.58
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
417 Passes 291
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2024 Fulham Fulham 3-1 HT 2-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
26.12.2023 Bournemouth Bournemouth 3-0 HT 1-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
01.04.2023 Bournemouth Bournemouth 2-1 HT 0-1 Fulham Fulham İNP
15.10.2022 Fulham Fulham 2-2 HT 1-2 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
23.04.2022 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1-1 HT 0-0 Fulham Fulham İNCL
03.12.2021 Fulham Fulham 1-1 HT 0-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fulham
2-2
AWAY Bournemouth
1.11 xG 1.98
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 7
387 Passes 348
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 31
15 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fulham vs Bournemouth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fulham and Bournemouth shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Fulham had 52% of the ball to Bournemouth's 48%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 1.11 to 1.98.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bournemouth led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fulham and 1.67 for Bournemouth.

What was the final score of Fulham vs Bournemouth?

Fulham 2-2 Bournemouth in the England - Premier League on 29/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fulham vs Bournemouth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fulham win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Fulham 37%, draw 28%, Bournemouth 35%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fulham) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fulham) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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