Sunderland 0-0 Manchester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 1 Jan 2026

📅01/01/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.4
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
60%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.02
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
3.02
6+ Goals
10%
9.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
11.1
1/2 EV+ ✗
12%
21.75
1/X
5%
19.6
X/1
7%
13.4
X/2
20%
3.98
X/X
11%
6.5
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
29%
1.77
2/X
4%
17.15
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.75 — our 12% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
15%
+4.5pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.4pp
60%
Away Win
64%
-4.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.4pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sunderland EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester City EU Bookmakers 69%
-9% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
0.57/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.03/1.12
-47% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -3%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
303 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 445 · 84%
15.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 36.2
19.1 Crosses 17.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sunderland
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Manchester City
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.73 xG 2.34
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
246 Passes 525
73% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 38
14 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 0
06.12.2025 Manchester City Manchester City 3-0 HT 2-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNP
05.03.2017 Sunderland Sunderland 0-2 HT 0-1 Manchester City Manchester City İNP
13.08.2016 Manchester City Manchester City 2-1 HT 1-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNP
02.02.2016 Sunderland Sunderland 0-1 HT 0-1 Manchester City Manchester City İNP
26.12.2015 Manchester City Manchester City 4-1 HT 3-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNP
22.09.2015 Sunderland Sunderland 1-4 HT 0-4 Manchester City Manchester City İNLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sunderland
0-0
AWAY Manchester City
0.88 xG 2.24
32% Ball Possession 68%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
221 Passes 548
73% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 52
9 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sunderland vs Manchester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sunderland and Manchester City played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Manchester City at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Sunderland had 32% of the ball to Manchester City's 68%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.88 to 2.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester City led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sunderland and 2.67 for Manchester City.

What was the final score of Sunderland vs Manchester City?

Sunderland 0-0 Manchester City in the England - Premier League on 01/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sunderland vs Manchester City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester City win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Sunderland 20%, draw 20%, Manchester City 60%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Manchester City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
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