Caersws 1-0 Newtown — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 1 Jan 2026

📅01/01/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.08
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
46%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.23
Over Pick
58%
1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.51
No
42%
2.39
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
36%
4-5
27%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
25%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caersws The Market 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Newtown The Market 50%
Great Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
Great Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
2.14 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 2.66
1.51 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.99
Great Attackvs comparable teams Great
Strong Defensevs comparable teams Weak
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
241 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 467 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caersws
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Newtown
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
25.08.2025 Newtown Newtown 2-1 HT 0-0 Caersws Caersws GALFAW
REVIEW Caersws vs Newtown
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Caersws shaded a tight game against Newtown 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We leaned Newtown at 46% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

Caersws vs Newtown Result & Final Score

Caersws 1-0 Newtown in the Wales - FAW Championship on 01/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Caersws vs Newtown Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Newtown win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Caersws 34%, draw 20%, Newtown 46%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Newtown) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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