Denbigh Town 2-3 Gresford Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 1 Jan 2026

📅01/01/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.34
Draw
15%
4.95
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
25%
Over Pick
75%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.46
No
35%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
27%
4-5
29%
6+
26%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
5%
2/1
22%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Denbigh Town The Market 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Gresford Athletic The Market 17%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
3.38 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.42
1.37 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 2.25
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Strong
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Average
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
392 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Denbigh Town
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Gresford Athletic
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
15.08.2025 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 0-5 HT 0-2 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town GALFAW
12.04.2025 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 3-3 HT 1-0 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town GALFAW
23.08.2024 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town 5-1 HT 2-1 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
19.03.2024 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town 2-5 HT 1-1 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
28.10.2023 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 1-2 HT 1-2 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town GALFAW
22.07.2022 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALLK
REVIEW Denbigh Town vs Gresford Athletic
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Gresford Athletic found just enough to beat Denbigh Town 3-2 on their travels. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.

Our model won't enjoy this one — Denbigh Town at 63% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen. Small consolation: at 1.34 (roughly 75%) the price was further off than we were. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (75%), both teams to score (65%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Denbigh Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Denbigh Town and 1.83 for Gresford Athletic.

Denbigh Town vs Gresford Athletic Result & Final Score

Denbigh Town 2-3 Gresford Athletic in the Wales - FAW Championship on 01/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Denbigh Town vs Gresford Athletic Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Denbigh Town win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Denbigh Town 63%, draw 15%, Gresford Athletic 22%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Denbigh Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Denbigh Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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