Gresford Athletic 0-5 Denbigh Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 15 Aug 2025

📅15/08/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
18%
3.8
Away
47%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
Over 2.5
69%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
72%
1.38
No
28%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
20%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
31%
+3.3pp
18%
Draw
23%
-4.2pp
47%
Away Win
46%
+0.8pp
72%
BTTS Yes
68%
+3.4pp
28%
BTTS No
32%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gresford Athletic EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Denbigh Town EU Bookmakers 50%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.28/2.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.69
-21% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -8%
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
347 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gresford Athletic
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Denbigh Town
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
12.04.2025 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 3-3 HT 1-0 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town GALFAW
23.08.2024 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town 5-1 HT 2-1 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
19.03.2024 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town 2-5 HT 1-1 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
28.10.2023 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 1-2 HT 1-2 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town GALFAW
22.07.2022 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALLK
POST-MATCH Gresford Athletic vs Denbigh Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Denbigh Town ran out comfortable winners over Gresford Athletic 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Denbigh Town as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (69%) landed while both teams to score (72%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Gresford Athletic and 2.40 for Denbigh Town.

What was the final score of Gresford Athletic vs Denbigh Town?

Gresford Athletic 0-5 Denbigh Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 15/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gresford Athletic vs Denbigh Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Denbigh Town win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Gresford Athletic 35%, draw 18%, Denbigh Town 47%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Denbigh Town), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Denbigh Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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