Al Minaa Basra 1-1 Newroz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 1 Jan 2026

📅01/01/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.19
Draw
20%
3.04
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.64
Over 2.5
50%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
51%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+4.1pp
20%
Draw
29%
-8.9pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+4.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
57%
-7.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
43%
+7.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.9pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Minaa Basra EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Newroz EU Bookmakers 32%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.22/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/0.88
+7% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +67% / +41%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
315 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Minaa Basra
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Newroz
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
02.04.2025 Newroz 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Minaa Basra Al Minaa Basra IRAK
04.02.2025 Al Minaa Basra Al Minaa Basra 1-5 HT 0-2 Newroz IRAK
POST-MATCH Al Minaa Basra vs Newroz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Minaa Basra and Newroz shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Al Minaa Basra at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Newroz led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Al Minaa Basra and 3.00 for Newroz.

What was the final score of Al Minaa Basra vs Newroz?

Al Minaa Basra 1-1 Newroz in the Iraq - Premier League on 01/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Minaa Basra vs Newroz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Minaa Basra win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Al Minaa Basra 46%, draw 20%, Newroz 34%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Minaa Basra) ✗ BTTS No
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