Karvina 1-1 Teplice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 1 Feb 2025

Karvina
1-1 HT 1-1
Teplice
📅01/02/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Czech Republic - Czech Liga – 2024/2025

Karvina vs Teplice Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.12
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.39
6+ Goals
11%
13.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 28% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.3pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.8pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.7pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Karvina v Teplice — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karvina EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Teplice EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
1.66/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.18
-7% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
328 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.2
24.1 Crosses 31.6
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4

Karvina vs Teplice Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karvina
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Teplice
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.98 xG 1.78
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
236 Passes 230
72% Pass Accuracy 68%
17 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.08.2024 Teplice Teplice 1-3 HT 0-1 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
24.02.2024 Teplice Teplice 2-2 HT 0-1 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
16.09.2023 Karvina Karvina 0-1 HT 0-0 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
10.05.2022 Karvina Karvina 2-2 HT 1-1 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
20.02.2022 Teplice Teplice 1-0 HT 1-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
19.09.2021 Karvina Karvina 1-1 HT 0-0 Teplice Teplice ÇEK

Karvina 1-1 Teplice — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karvina
1-1
AWAY Teplice
0.30 xG 1.49
48% Ball Possession 52%
4 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 4
309 Passes 329
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 30
9 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Karvina vs Teplice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karvina and Teplice couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Karvina at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Karvina had 48% of the ball to Teplice's 52%, shots finished 4-10, expected goals 0.30 to 1.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Teplice led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Karvina and 1.33 for Teplice.

What was the final score of Karvina vs Teplice?

Karvina 1-1 Teplice in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karvina vs Teplice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karvina win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Karvina 41%, draw 29%, Teplice 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Karvina) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Karvina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇEK More Czech Republic - Czech Liga
1 Feb 2025
18:00 Slovan Liberec vs Banik Ostrava Analysis →
18:00 Ceske Budejovice vs Dukla Prag Analysis →
21:00 Hradec Kralove vs FK Pardubice Analysis →