Teplice 1-3 Karvina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 24 Aug 2024

Teplice
1-3 HT 0-1
Karvina
📅24/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Czech Republic - Czech Liga – 2024/2025

Teplice vs Karvina Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.15
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
25%
3.72
6+ Goals
11%
15.7
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.72 — our 25% vs market 21.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-4.3pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.4pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Teplice v Karvina — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Teplice EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Karvina EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
0.93/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.15
+0% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
372 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 79%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
18.8 Crosses 13.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Teplice vs Karvina Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Teplice
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Karvina
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.78 xG 0.98
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
277 Passes 226
71% Pass Accuracy 67%
28 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.02.2024 Teplice Teplice 2-2 HT 0-1 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
16.09.2023 Karvina Karvina 0-1 HT 0-0 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
10.05.2022 Karvina Karvina 2-2 HT 1-1 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
20.02.2022 Teplice Teplice 1-0 HT 1-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
19.09.2021 Karvina Karvina 1-1 HT 0-0 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
23.05.2021 Karvina Karvina 2-0 HT 1-0 Teplice Teplice ÇEK

Teplice 1-3 Karvina — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Teplice
1-3
AWAY Karvina
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
184 Passes 246
66% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Teplice vs Karvina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karvina saw off Teplice 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Teplice at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Teplice had 47% of the ball to Karvina's 53%, shots finished 15-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Teplice had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Teplice and 1.17 for Karvina.

What was the final score of Teplice vs Karvina?

Teplice 1-3 Karvina in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Teplice vs Karvina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Teplice win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Teplice 43%, draw 29%, Karvina 28%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Teplice) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Teplice) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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