Bohemians 1905 1-2 Jablonec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.19
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.4
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.5
6+ Goals
9%
13.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 28% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-6.9pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.0pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+2.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.5pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bohemians 1905 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Jablonec EU Bookmakers 36%
-6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.65/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.55
-18% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
34.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
34.4 Crosses 16.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bohemians 1905
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Jablonec
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.63 xG 0.96
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
253 Passes 148
72% Pass Accuracy 64%
31 Box Touches 24
31 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.05.2024 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 1-1 HT 0-1 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
30.03.2024 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 2-0 HT 2-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
22.10.2023 Jablonec Jablonec 0-1 HT 0-1 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 ÇEK
30.04.2023 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 4-1 HT 2-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
31.07.2022 Jablonec Jablonec 0-3 HT 0-1 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 ÇEK
10.05.2022 Jablonec Jablonec 1-1 HT 1-0 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bohemians 1905
1-2
AWAY Jablonec
50% Ball Possession 50%
22 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
256 Passes 260
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
37 Box Touches 27
29 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bohemians 1905 vs Jablonec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jablonec squeezed past Bohemians 1905 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 34%) promised a tight game; Jablonec found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bohemians 1905 had 50% of the ball to Jablonec's 50%, shots finished 22-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bohemians 1905 had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bohemians 1905 and 0.50 for Jablonec.

What was the final score of Bohemians 1905 vs Jablonec?

Bohemians 1905 1-2 Jablonec in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bohemians 1905 vs Jablonec?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bohemians 1905 win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Bohemians 1905 35%, draw 31%, Jablonec 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bohemians 1905), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bohemians 1905) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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