Bohemians 1905 1-1 Jablonec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.22
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.65
6+ Goals
11%
15.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 29% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.3pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.0pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bohemians 1905 EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Jablonec EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
1.68/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.47
-4% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
39.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
38.0 Crosses 16.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bohemians 1905
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Jablonec
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 2-0 HT 2-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
22.10.2023 Jablonec Jablonec 0-1 HT 0-1 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 ÇEK
30.04.2023 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 4-1 HT 2-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
31.07.2022 Jablonec Jablonec 0-3 HT 0-1 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 ÇEK
10.05.2022 Jablonec Jablonec 1-1 HT 1-0 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 ÇEK
05.12.2021 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 1-2 HT 0-2 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bohemians 1905
1-1
AWAY Jablonec
1.63 xG 0.96
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
253 Passes 148
72% Pass Accuracy 64%
31 Box Touches 24
31 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Bohemians 1905 vs Jablonec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bohemians 1905 and Jablonec shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Bohemians 1905 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bohemians 1905 had 60% of the ball to Jablonec's 40%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 1.63 to 0.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bohemians 1905 had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bohemians 1905 and 0.67 for Jablonec.

What was the final score of Bohemians 1905 vs Jablonec?

Bohemians 1905 1-1 Jablonec in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bohemians 1905 vs Jablonec?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bohemians 1905 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Bohemians 1905 42%, draw 28%, Jablonec 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bohemians 1905), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bohemians 1905) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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