Karvina 2-2 FC Fastav Zlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.09
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.79
6+ Goals
9%
16.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.09 — our 29% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-6.3pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.2pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.6pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karvina EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Fastav Zlin EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -11%
1.66/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.31
-3% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
22.5 Crosses 14.0
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karvina
3W-0D-3L
AWAY FC Fastav Zlin
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.04.2024 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin 0-1 HT 0-1 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
22.07.2023 Karvina Karvina 4-1 HT 3-0 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin ÇEK
11.12.2021 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin 2-1 HT 1-1 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
14.08.2021 Karvina Karvina 2-3 HT 1-0 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin ÇEK
04.04.2021 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin 1-2 HT 1-1 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
28.11.2020 Karvina Karvina 0-2 HT 0-2 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karvina
2-2
AWAY FC Fastav Zlin
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Karvina vs FC Fastav Zlin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karvina and FC Fastav Zlin couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Karvina had 50% of the ball to FC Fastav Zlin's 50%, shots finished 10-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Karvina and 1.50 for FC Fastav Zlin.

What was the final score of Karvina vs FC Fastav Zlin?

Karvina 2-2 FC Fastav Zlin in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karvina vs FC Fastav Zlin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karvina win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Karvina 39%, draw 29%, FC Fastav Zlin 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Karvina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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