Slovan Liberec 1-2 Teplice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.38
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.51
6+ Goals
11%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 28% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-3.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.0pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.5pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slovan Liberec EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Teplice EU Bookmakers 26%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
1.23/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/0.58
+8% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
409 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.6
19.9 Crosses 25.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slovan Liberec
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Teplice
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.74 xG 0.80
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
301 Passes 236
75% Pass Accuracy 70%
24 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.05.2024 Teplice Teplice 2-0 HT 0-0 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
03.03.2024 Teplice Teplice 2-0 HT 2-0 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
23.09.2023 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 3-3 HT 3-2 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
12.11.2022 Teplice Teplice 2-1 HT 1-1 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
06.08.2022 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 5-1 HT 3-1 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
02.04.2022 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 0-1 HT 0-0 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slovan Liberec
1-2
AWAY Teplice
0.98 xG 0.38
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
341 Passes 225
82% Pass Accuracy 69%
18 Box Touches 12
28 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Slovan Liberec vs Teplice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Teplice squeezed past Slovan Liberec 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Slovan Liberec at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Slovan Liberec had 57% of the ball to Teplice's 43%, shots finished 19-5, expected goals 0.98 to 0.38 — on chances, Slovan Liberec could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Teplice led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Slovan Liberec and 1.83 for Teplice.

What was the final score of Slovan Liberec vs Teplice?

Slovan Liberec 1-2 Teplice in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slovan Liberec vs Teplice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slovan Liberec win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Slovan Liberec 49%, draw 25%, Teplice 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Slovan Liberec) ✗ BTTS No
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