FK Pardubice 3-2 Ceske Budejovice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.94
2-3 Goals
44%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.14
6+ Goals
9%
10.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
44%
-7.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+5.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.7pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Pardubice EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceske Budejovice EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -12%
1.18/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.71
-21% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
249 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
14.1 Crosses 9.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Pardubice
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Ceske Budejovice
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.65 xG 0.14
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 5
297 Passes 217
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
34 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 1-1 HT 1-0 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
28.10.2023 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 0-1 HT 0-1 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
30.04.2023 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 3-1 HT 1-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
31.07.2022 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 0-2 HT 0-1 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
05.03.2022 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 3-3 HT 1-1 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
02.10.2021 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 3-1 HT 2-1 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Pardubice
3-2
AWAY Ceske Budejovice
1.08 xG 1.10
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 10
373 Passes 282
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 32
5 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FK Pardubice vs Ceske Budejovice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Pardubice nicked a narrow win over Ceske Budejovice 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day FK Pardubice made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, FK Pardubice had 55% of the ball to Ceske Budejovice's 45%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 1.08 to 1.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ceske Budejovice led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FK Pardubice and 2.00 for Ceske Budejovice.

What was the final score of FK Pardubice vs Ceske Budejovice?

FK Pardubice 3-2 Ceske Budejovice in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Pardubice vs Ceske Budejovice?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Pardubice win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split FK Pardubice 37%, draw 28%, Ceske Budejovice 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Pardubice), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FK Pardubice) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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