Sigma Olomouc 1-3 Hradec Kralove — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.73
No
56%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.16
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.71
6+ Goals
9%
15.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 33% vs market 26.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-2.2pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.7pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-0.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
54%
-9.4pp
56%
BTTS No
46%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sigma Olomouc EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Hradec Kralove EU Bookmakers 40%
-8% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -12%
1.44/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.66
+10% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sigma Olomouc
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Hradec Kralove
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.70 xG 1.25
49% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
278 Passes 273
72% Pass Accuracy 71%
13 Box Touches 33
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.05.2024 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 3-1 HT 3-1 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
17.02.2024 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 0-0 HT 0-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
03.09.2023 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 1-3 HT 1-1 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
12.02.2023 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 2-2 HT 1-1 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
28.08.2022 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 1-0 HT 0-0 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
17.04.2022 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 3-0 HT 1-0 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sigma Olomouc
1-3
AWAY Hradec Kralove
0.79 xG 0.39
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
253 Passes 234
74% Pass Accuracy 71%
15 Box Touches 14
28 Crosses 13
POST-MATCH Sigma Olomouc vs Hradec Kralove
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hradec Kralove got the better of Sigma Olomouc 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 30% / 36% — and on the day Hradec Kralove made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sigma Olomouc had 52% of the ball to Hradec Kralove's 48%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 0.79 to 0.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hradec Kralove led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sigma Olomouc and 1.67 for Hradec Kralove.

What was the final score of Sigma Olomouc vs Hradec Kralove?

Sigma Olomouc 1-3 Hradec Kralove in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sigma Olomouc vs Hradec Kralove?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hradec Kralove win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Sigma Olomouc 34%, draw 30%, Hradec Kralove 36%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hradec Kralove) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hradec Kralove) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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