York City 2-1 Dagenham & Redbridge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.47
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.61
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.04
6+ Goals
12%
10.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.61 — our 29% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.79
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.8
X/1
20%
3.89
X/2
9%
12.75
X/X
10%
6.09
2/1
8%
22.1
2/2
6%
10.7
2/X
5%
19.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
64%
-5.9pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.0pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.9pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME York City EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Dagenham & Redbridge EU Bookmakers 18%
-15% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +1%
2.18/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.43
+14% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +25%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
104 · 94% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 76 · 92%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME York City
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Dagenham & Redbridge
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
31.08.2024 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 0-2 HT 0-0 York City York City İBSL
17.02.2024 York City York City 1-1 HT 1-1 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
03.10.2023 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 1-2 HT 0-0 York City York City İBSL
04.03.2023 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 2-1 HT 1-1 York City York City İBSL
11.10.2022 York City York City 1-1 HT 0-1 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
12.03.2022 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 1-1 HT 1-0 York City York City FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME York City
2-1
AWAY Dagenham & Redbridge
74% Ball Possession 26%
7 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
1 Passes 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH York City vs Dagenham & Redbridge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

York City edged past Dagenham & Redbridge 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had York City as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, York City had 74% of the ball to Dagenham & Redbridge's 26%, shots finished 7-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, York City had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for York City and 1.00 for Dagenham & Redbridge.

What was the final score of York City vs Dagenham & Redbridge?

York City 2-1 Dagenham & Redbridge in the England - National League on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for York City vs Dagenham & Redbridge?

Before kick-off our model rated a York City win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split York City 58%, draw 22%, Dagenham & Redbridge 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (York City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (York City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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