AFC Sudbury 0-1 Kettering Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.17
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
42%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.0
Over 2.5
57%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
28%
+6.6pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.4pp
42%
Away Win
49%
-7.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
46%
-3.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
54%
+3.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.2pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Sudbury EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Kettering Town EU Bookmakers 53%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.67/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.77
+17% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -31%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
171 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Sudbury
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Kettering Town
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.10.2024 Kettering Town Kettering Town 2-1 HT 1-1 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury İNGNLP
16.03.2024 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury 0-1 HT 0-1 Kettering Town Kettering Town İNGNLP
27.02.2024 Kettering Town Kettering Town 2-0 HT 1-0 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury İNGNLP
POST-MATCH AFC Sudbury vs Kettering Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kettering Town squeezed past AFC Sudbury 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kettering Town as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kettering Town led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for AFC Sudbury and 1.67 for Kettering Town.

What was the final score of AFC Sudbury vs Kettering Town?

AFC Sudbury 0-1 Kettering Town in the England - Non League Premier on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Sudbury vs Kettering Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kettering Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split AFC Sudbury 34%, draw 24%, Kettering Town 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kettering Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kettering Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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