Kettering Town 2-1 AFC Sudbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.64
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.21
Over 2.5
47%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
57%
-11.9pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.5pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+6.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.1pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kettering Town EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Sudbury EU Bookmakers 23%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -7%
3.09/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.88
+66% / +120% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kettering Town
2W-0D-0L
AWAY AFC Sudbury
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury 0-1 HT 0-1 Kettering Town Kettering Town İNGNLP
27.02.2024 Kettering Town Kettering Town 2-0 HT 1-0 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Kettering Town vs AFC Sudbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kettering Town squeezed past AFC Sudbury 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kettering Town as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kettering Town had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kettering Town and 0.00 for AFC Sudbury.

What was the final score of Kettering Town vs AFC Sudbury?

Kettering Town 2-1 AFC Sudbury in the England - Non League Premier on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kettering Town vs AFC Sudbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kettering Town win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Kettering Town 45%, draw 29%, AFC Sudbury 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kettering Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kettering Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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