Redditch United 1-2 Leiston — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.15
Over 2.5
60%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-2.7pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.2pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
43%
-2.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
57%
+2.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.3pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Redditch United EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Leiston EU Bookmakers 31%
-2% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.67/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.89
-4% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
373 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Redditch United
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Leiston
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
04.11.2023 Leiston Leiston 0-1 HT 0-0 Redditch United Redditch United İNGNLP
27.02.2023 Redditch United Redditch United 3-1 HT 2-0 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
26.11.2022 Leiston Leiston 2-1 HT 2-0 Redditch United Redditch United İNGNLP
09.04.2022 Redditch United Redditch United 0-1 HT 0-1 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
21.08.2021 Leiston Leiston 1-2 HT 1-1 Redditch United Redditch United İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Redditch United vs Leiston
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leiston squeezed past Redditch United 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Redditch United at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Redditch United had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Redditch United and 1.00 for Leiston.

What was the final score of Redditch United vs Leiston?

Redditch United 1-2 Leiston in the England - Non League Premier on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Redditch United vs Leiston?

Before kick-off our model rated a Redditch United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Redditch United 45%, draw 23%, Leiston 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Redditch United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Redditch United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNGNLP More England - Non League Premier
19 Oct 2024
00:00 Prescot Cables vs Morpeth Town Analysis →
00:00 Stratford Town vs Lowestoft Town Analysis →
00:00 Bedford Town vs Barwell Analysis →
00:00 Spalding United vs Banbury United Analysis →
00:00 Bracknell Town vs Wimborne Town Analysis →
00:00 Alvechurch vs St Ives Town Analysis →