Bedford Town 1-3 Barwell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
31%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.0
Over 2.5
44%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.61
No
56%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.2pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.3pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-5.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
46%
+9.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
54%
-9.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
58%
-13.6pp
56%
BTTS No
42%
+13.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bedford Town EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Barwell EU Bookmakers 40%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +3%
1.38/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.48
-8% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
314 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bedford Town
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Barwell
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
17.12.2022 Barwell Barwell 1-2 HT 1-2 Bedford Town Bedford Town İNGNLP
13.08.2022 Bedford Town Bedford Town 3-2 HT 2-1 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Bedford Town vs Barwell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barwell saw off Bedford Town 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Barwell found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bedford Town had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Bedford Town and 1.50 for Barwell.

What was the final score of Bedford Town vs Barwell?

Bedford Town 1-3 Barwell in the England - Non League Premier on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bedford Town vs Barwell?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bedford Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bedford Town 40%, draw 29%, Barwell 31%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bedford Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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