Alvechurch 0-1 St Ives Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.86
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
37%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
50%
-8.7pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.8pp
37%
Away Win
26%
+10.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.4pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alvechurch EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY St Ives Town EU Bookmakers 30%
-6% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
1.34/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.93
-23% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
353 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alvechurch
1W-0D-3L
AWAY St Ives Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
09.03.2024 Alvechurch Alvechurch 1-4 HT 1-1 St Ives Town St Ives Town İNGNLP
18.02.2023 Alvechurch Alvechurch 4-1 HT 3-1 St Ives Town St Ives Town İNGNLP
24.01.2023 St Ives Town St Ives Town 3-1 HT 1-1 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
14.08.2021 St Ives Town St Ives Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Alvechurch vs St Ives Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St Ives Town edged past Alvechurch 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (41% / 22% / 37%) promised a tight game; St Ives Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, St Ives Town led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Alvechurch and 2.25 for St Ives Town.

What was the final score of Alvechurch vs St Ives Town?

Alvechurch 0-1 St Ives Town in the England - Non League Premier on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alvechurch vs St Ives Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alvechurch win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Alvechurch 41%, draw 22%, St Ives Town 37%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Alvechurch) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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