Alvechurch 1-4 St Ives Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.33
Over 2.5
49%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.7pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
39%
+12.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
61%
-12.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.9pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alvechurch EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY St Ives Town EU Bookmakers 43%
+20% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.87/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/1.49
+24% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alvechurch
1W-0D-2L
AWAY St Ives Town
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
18.02.2023 Alvechurch Alvechurch 4-1 HT 3-1 St Ives Town St Ives Town İNGNLP
24.01.2023 St Ives Town St Ives Town 3-1 HT 1-1 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
14.08.2021 St Ives Town St Ives Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alvechurch
1-4
AWAY St Ives Town
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Alvechurch vs St Ives Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St Ives Town swept aside Alvechurch 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and on the day St Ives Town made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Alvechurch had 52% of the ball to St Ives Town's 48%, shots finished 8-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, St Ives Town led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Alvechurch and 1.67 for St Ives Town.

What was the final score of Alvechurch vs St Ives Town?

Alvechurch 1-4 St Ives Town in the England - Non League Premier on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alvechurch vs St Ives Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an St Ives Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Alvechurch 36%, draw 26%, St Ives Town 38%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St Ives Town), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St Ives Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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