Kettering Town 2-0 AFC Sudbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 27 Feb 2024

📅27/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
20%
3.45
Away
46%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.21
Over 2.5
60%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.53
No
40%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-1.5pp
20%
Draw
26%
-5.2pp
46%
Away Win
39%
+6.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
61%
-1.2pp
40%
BTTS No
39%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kettering Town EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Sudbury EU Bookmakers 43%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +52% / +52%
1.10/2.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-27% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% /
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
352 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kettering Town
2-0
AWAY AFC Sudbury
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kettering Town vs AFC Sudbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kettering Town beat AFC Sudbury 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Sudbury at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kettering Town had 37% of the ball to AFC Sudbury's 63%, shots finished 11-16.

What was the final score of Kettering Town vs AFC Sudbury?

Kettering Town 2-0 AFC Sudbury in the England - Non League Premier on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kettering Town vs AFC Sudbury?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Sudbury win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Kettering Town 34%, draw 20%, AFC Sudbury 46%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (AFC Sudbury) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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