Whitby Town 1-1 Lancaster City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 27 Feb 2024

📅27/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.0pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.1pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.4pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Whitby Town EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Lancaster City EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.15/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.49
-28% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
306 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Whitby Town
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Lancaster City
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
28.11.2023 Lancaster City Lancaster City 2-1 HT 0-0 Whitby Town Whitby Town İNGNLP
25.02.2023 Lancaster City Lancaster City 2-0 HT 1-0 Whitby Town Whitby Town İNGNLP
12.11.2022 Whitby Town Whitby Town 1-2 HT 1-1 Lancaster City Lancaster City İNGNLP
08.01.2022 Whitby Town Whitby Town 0-3 HT 0-1 Lancaster City Lancaster City İNGNLP
14.08.2021 Lancaster City Lancaster City 0-1 HT 0-1 Whitby Town Whitby Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Whitby Town
1-1
AWAY Lancaster City
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Whitby Town vs Lancaster City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Whitby Town and Lancaster City shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Whitby Town had 57% of the ball to Lancaster City's 43%, shots finished 12-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Lancaster City led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Whitby Town and 1.80 for Lancaster City.

What was the final score of Whitby Town vs Lancaster City?

Whitby Town 1-1 Lancaster City in the England - Non League Premier on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Whitby Town vs Lancaster City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Whitby Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Whitby Town 40%, draw 25%, Lancaster City 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Whitby Town), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Whitby Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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