Needham Market 1-0 Stratford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 27 Feb 2024

📅27/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
26%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
62%
-10.7pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.7pp
26%
Away Win
17%
+9.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.4pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Needham Market EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Stratford Town EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
2.80/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/2.03
+36% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
502 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Needham Market
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Stratford Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.80
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.08.2023 Stratford Town Stratford Town 6-1 HT 2-1 Needham Market Needham Market İNGNLP
04.03.2023 Needham Market Needham Market 0-1 HT 0-1 Stratford Town Stratford Town İNGNLP
22.10.2022 Stratford Town Stratford Town 4-2 HT 2-0 Needham Market Needham Market İNGNLP
05.04.2022 Stratford Town Stratford Town 2-3 HT 0-0 Needham Market Needham Market İNGNLP
26.02.2022 Needham Market Needham Market 4-1 HT 1-0 Stratford Town Stratford Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Needham Market
1-0
AWAY Stratford Town
58% Ball Possession 42%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Needham Market vs Stratford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Needham Market nicked a narrow win over Stratford Town 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Needham Market as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Needham Market had 58% of the ball to Stratford Town's 42%, shots finished 7-8.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Stratford Town led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Needham Market and 2.80 for Stratford Town.

What was the final score of Needham Market vs Stratford Town?

Needham Market 1-0 Stratford Town in the England - Non League Premier on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Needham Market vs Stratford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Needham Market win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Needham Market 52%, draw 22%, Stratford Town 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Needham Market), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Needham Market) ✓ BTTS No
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