Chesham United 1-1 Hanwell Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 27 Feb 2024

Chesham United
1-1
Hanwell Town
📅27/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
England - Non League Premier – 2023/2024

Chesham United vs Hanwell Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.29
Over 2.5
60%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
23%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
66%
-6.4pp
20%
Draw
19%
+0.2pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+6.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
40%
+0.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
60%
-0.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chesham United v Hanwell Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chesham United EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Hanwell Town EU Bookmakers 17%
+7% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +13%
2.35/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/2.19
+14% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / -11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
337 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

Chesham United vs Hanwell Town Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chesham United
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Hanwell Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 2
7 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
05.09.2023 Hanwell Town Hanwell Town 0-3 HT 0-2 Chesham United Chesham United İNGNLP
05.08.2023 Hanwell Town Hanwell Town 0-3 HT 0-3 Chesham United Chesham United İNGNLP
11.03.2023 Chesham United Chesham United 2-2 HT 1-0 Hanwell Town Hanwell Town İNGNLP
16.08.2022 Hanwell Town Hanwell Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Chesham United Chesham United İNGNLP

Chesham United 1-1 Hanwell Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chesham United
1-1
AWAY Hanwell Town
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
16 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chesham United vs Hanwell Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chesham United and Hanwell Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Chesham United carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chesham United had 61% of the ball to Hanwell Town's 39%, shots finished 20-7.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Chesham United had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Chesham United and 1.00 for Hanwell Town.

What was the final score of Chesham United vs Hanwell Town?

Chesham United 1-1 Hanwell Town in the England - Non League Premier on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chesham United vs Hanwell Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chesham United win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Chesham United 60%, draw 20%, Hanwell Town 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chesham United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chesham United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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