Espanyol 1-0 Real Madrid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 1 Feb 2025

Espanyol
1-0 HT 0-0
Real Madrid
📅01/02/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Espanyol vs Real Madrid Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
6.35
Draw
19%
4.81
Away
58%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.43
Over 2.5
59%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.94
2-3 Goals
39%
1.94
4-5 Goals
24%
2.65
6+ Goals
15%
6.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
14.25
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
20.35
1/X
5%
22.55
X/1
9%
17.35
X/2
19%
3.86
X/X
9%
8.01
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
30%
1.52
2/X
5%
19.7
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.35 — our 9% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
12%
+10.8pp
19%
Draw
17%
+2.1pp
57%
Away Win
70%
-12.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
38%
+3.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
62%
-3.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.3pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Espanyol v Real Madrid — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Espanyol EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid EU Bookmakers 75%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.27/1.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.01
+32% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -1%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 462 · 84%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.2
13.1 Crosses 16.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8

Espanyol vs Real Madrid Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Espanyol
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Real Madrid
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.03 xG 2.38
33% Ball Possession 67%
12 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
249 Passes 574
79% Pass Accuracy 91%
18 Box Touches 36
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.09.2024 Real Madrid Real Madrid 4-1 HT 0-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
11.03.2023 Real Madrid Real Madrid 3-1 HT 2-1 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
28.08.2022 Espanyol Espanyol 1-3 HT 1-1 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
30.04.2022 Real Madrid Real Madrid 4-0 HT 2-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
03.10.2021 Espanyol Espanyol 2-1 HT 1-0 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
28.06.2020 Espanyol Espanyol 0-1 HT 0-1 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1

Espanyol 1-0 Real Madrid — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Espanyol
1-0
AWAY Real Madrid
0.27 xG 1.33
24% Ball Possession 76%
5 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 8
187 Passes 725
77% Pass Accuracy 91%
6 Box Touches 50
12 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Espanyol vs Real Madrid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Espanyol squeezed past Real Madrid 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Real Madrid carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Espanyol had 24% of the ball to Real Madrid's 76%, shots finished 5-21, expected goals 0.27 to 1.33 — on chances, Real Madrid could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Madrid led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Espanyol and 2.67 for Real Madrid.

What was the final score of Espanyol vs Real Madrid?

Espanyol 1-0 Real Madrid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Espanyol vs Real Madrid?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Espanyol 23%, draw 19%, Real Madrid 57%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Real Madrid) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS1 More Spain - Primera Liga
1 Feb 2025
16:00 Getafe vs Sevilla Analysis →
18:15 Villarreal vs Valladolid Analysis →
20:30 Atletico Madrid vs Mallorca Analysis →