Villarreal 5-1 Valladolid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.22
Draw
21%
5.71
Away
16%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.63
Over 2.5
54%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.89
2-3 Goals
39%
2.06
4-5 Goals
24%
2.49
6+ Goals
15%
5.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.35
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
24.3
X/1
20%
3.83
X/2
5%
23.85
X/X
9%
9.89
2/1
9%
20.95
2/2
6%
20.1
2/X
7%
28.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
77%
-14.0pp
21%
Draw
14%
+6.6pp
16%
Away Win
8%
+7.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
34%
+11.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
66%
-11.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.1pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villarreal EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Valladolid EU Bookmakers 11%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -5%
2.23/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/2.05
-6% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -13%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
494 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
33.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
16.4 Crosses 15.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Villarreal
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Valladolid
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.58 xG 1.08
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
443 Passes 265
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.10.2024 Valladolid Valladolid 1-2 HT 0-1 Villarreal Villarreal İS1
15.04.2023 Villarreal Villarreal 1-2 HT 0-2 Valladolid Valladolid İS1
13.08.2022 Valladolid Valladolid 0-3 HT 0-0 Villarreal Villarreal İS1
13.05.2021 Valladolid Valladolid 0-2 HT 0-0 Villarreal Villarreal İS1
02.11.2020 Villarreal Villarreal 2-0 HT 2-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS1
08.02.2020 Valladolid Valladolid 1-1 HT 1-0 Villarreal Villarreal İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villarreal
5-1
AWAY Valladolid
3.49 xG 0.56
53% Ball Possession 47%
22 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
417 Passes 362
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
37 Box Touches 10
14 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Villarreal vs Valladolid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Villarreal swept aside Valladolid 5-1. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Villarreal as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Villarreal had 53% of the ball to Valladolid's 47%, shots finished 22-8, expected goals 3.49 to 0.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Villarreal had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Villarreal and 0.67 for Valladolid.

What was the final score of Villarreal vs Valladolid?

Villarreal 5-1 Valladolid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villarreal vs Valladolid?

Before kick-off our model rated a Villarreal win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Villarreal 63%, draw 21%, Valladolid 16%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Villarreal), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Villarreal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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