Lugano vs Sion Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lugano v Sion — Team-Based Signals
Lugano vs Sion Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Sion
İSV
1-1
HT 0-1
Lugano
İSV
0-3
HT 0-0
Lugano
İSVK
2-3
HT 1-2
Lugano
İSV
Lugano 3-2 Sion — Actual Match Statistics
Lugano edged past Sion 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lugano as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Lugano had 60% of the ball to Sion's 40%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.96 to 0.79.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lugano had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Lugano and 0.50 for Sion.
What was the final score of Lugano vs Sion?
Lugano 3-2 Sion in the Switzerland - Super League on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lugano vs Sion?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lugano win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Lugano 50%, draw 28%, Sion 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lugano) — while BTTS No went the other way.