Udinese 3-2 Venezia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
1.86
Over
48%
1.87
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.18
2-3
42%
1.76
4-5
21%
3.46
6+
9%
13.65
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.18 — our 28% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.23
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.6
X/1
18%
4.3
X/2
8%
9.54
X/X
13%
4.8
2/1
9%
24.3
2/2
11%
7.69
2/X
7%
15.2
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Udinese The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Venezia The Market 23%
Bad Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.57 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.83
1.22 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.78
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Weak
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
395 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
19.1 Crosses 13.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Udinese
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Venezia
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
1.75 xG 1.65
45% Ball Possession 55%
17 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
274 Passes 367
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 4
30.10.2024 Venezia Venezia 3-2 HT 1-2 Udinese Udinese İTA
10.04.2022 Venezia Venezia 1-2 HT 0-1 Udinese Udinese İTA
27.08.2021 Udinese Udinese 3-0 HT 1-0 Venezia Venezia İTA
21.04.2002 Udinese Udinese 1-0 HT 1-0 Venezia Venezia İTA
16.12.2001 Venezia Venezia 2-1 HT 1-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Udinese
3-2
AWAY Venezia
0.60 xG 1.31
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
271 Passes 229
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Udinese vs Venezia
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Udinese found just enough to beat Venezia 3-2. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Udinese as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 48% for over 2.5, 48% on both teams scoring. The market went further still — the BTTS-yes price closed at 1.82, about 55%.

By the numbers, Udinese had 52% of the ball to Venezia's 48%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 0.60 to 1.31 — by the quality of chances, Venezia deserved more.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Udinese had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Udinese and 1.20 for Venezia.

Udinese vs Venezia Result & Final Score

Udinese 3-2 Venezia in the Italy - Serie A on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Udinese vs Venezia Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Udinese win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Udinese 46%, draw 27%, Venezia 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Udinese) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Udinese) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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