Atalanta 1-1 Torino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
51%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.9
Over
50%
1.85
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.19
2-3
39%
1.76
4-5
24%
3.45
6+
10%
13.55
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.19 — our 27% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.94
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.7
X/1
22%
3.95
X/2
10%
11.45
X/X
11%
5.29
2/1
6%
23.85
2/2
10%
9.76
2/X
6%
17.9
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Atalanta The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Torino The Market 20%
Weak Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Strong Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
1.89 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.83
0.94 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.47
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Average
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Average
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
384 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 75%
32.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
20.9 Crosses 14.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atalanta
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Torino
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.05 xG 1.34
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
317 Passes 411
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2024 Torino Torino 2-1 HT 1-1 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
26.05.2024 Atalanta Atalanta 3-0 HT 2-0 Torino Torino İTA
04.12.2023 Torino Torino 3-0 HT 1-0 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
29.04.2023 Torino Torino 1-2 HT 0-1 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
01.09.2022 Atalanta Atalanta 3-1 HT 1-0 Torino Torino İTA
27.04.2022 Atalanta Atalanta 4-4 HT 2-2 Torino Torino İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atalanta
1-1
AWAY Torino
2.97 xG 0.64
65% Ball Possession 35%
22 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 0
585 Passes 268
89% Pass Accuracy 75%
45 Box Touches 3
32 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Atalanta vs Torino
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Atalanta and Torino shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

A gentle 51% lean on Atalanta didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The market had leaned harder still (1.57, ~64%); nobody's numbers saw this one coming.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 50% and both teams to score at 50%, coin-flips both. At 1.76 (~57%), the BTTS-no price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.

Under the surface, Atalanta had 65% of the ball to Torino's 35%, shots finished 22-5, expected goals 2.97 to 0.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atalanta had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Atalanta and 1.83 for Torino.

Atalanta vs Torino Result & Final Score

Atalanta 1-1 Torino in the Italy - Serie A on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Atalanta vs Torino Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Atalanta win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Atalanta 51%, draw 24%, Torino 25%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atalanta)
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