Torino 2-1 Atalanta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.74
Over 2.5
40%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.94
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.97
6+ Goals
8%
18.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.94 — our 36% vs market 28.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.05
1/2
8%
28.0
1/X
8%
13.4
X/1
14%
6.76
X/2
17%
4.72
X/X
10%
4.19
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
17%
3.03
2/X
8%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+3.2pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.9pp
42%
Away Win
42%
-0.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
54%
+6.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
46%
-6.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.9pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torino EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Atalanta EU Bookmakers 46%
+4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +19%
1.24/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.02
+0% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +47%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
348 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 79%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.7
19.0 Crosses 17.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torino
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Atalanta
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.16 xG 1.65
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
412 Passes 300
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2024 Atalanta Atalanta 3-0 HT 2-0 Torino Torino İTA
04.12.2023 Torino Torino 3-0 HT 1-0 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
29.04.2023 Torino Torino 1-2 HT 0-1 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
01.09.2022 Atalanta Atalanta 3-1 HT 1-0 Torino Torino İTA
27.04.2022 Atalanta Atalanta 4-4 HT 2-2 Torino Torino İTA
21.08.2021 Torino Torino 1-2 HT 0-1 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torino
2-1
AWAY Atalanta
2.39 xG 3.14
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 25
7 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 7
274 Passes 398
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 45
9 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Torino vs Atalanta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torino nicked a narrow win over Atalanta 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Atalanta at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Torino had 42% of the ball to Atalanta's 58%, shots finished 13-25, expected goals 2.39 to 3.14 — on chances, Atalanta could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atalanta led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Torino and 2.33 for Atalanta.

What was the final score of Torino vs Atalanta?

Torino 2-1 Atalanta in the Italy - Serie A on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torino vs Atalanta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atalanta win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Torino 32%, draw 26%, Atalanta 42%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atalanta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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