Roma vs Empoli Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Roma v Empoli — Team-Based Signals
Roma vs Empoli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
7-0
HT 3-0
Empoli
İTA
2-0
HT 2-0
Empoli
İTA
1-2
HT 1-1
Roma
İTA
2-4
HT 0-4
Roma
İTA
2-0
HT 1-0
Empoli
İTA
Roma 1-2 Empoli — Actual Match Statistics
Empoli nicked a narrow win over Roma 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Roma at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Roma had 73% of the ball to Empoli's 27%, shots finished 27-14, expected goals 2.19 to 2.87.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roma had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Roma and 0.83 for Empoli.
What was the final score of Roma vs Empoli?
Roma 1-2 Empoli in the Italy - Serie A on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Roma vs Empoli?
Before kick-off our model rated a Roma win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Roma 52%, draw 23%, Empoli 25%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.