Empoli vs Roma Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Empoli v Roma — Team-Based Signals
Empoli vs Roma Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
7-0
HT 3-0
Empoli
İTA
2-0
HT 2-0
Empoli
İTA
1-2
HT 1-1
Roma
İTA
2-4
HT 0-4
Roma
İTA
2-0
HT 1-0
Empoli
İTA
2-1
HT 2-1
Empoli
İTA
Empoli 2-1 Roma — Actual Match Statistics
Empoli nicked a narrow win over Roma 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Empoli found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Empoli had 33% of the ball to Roma's 67%, shots finished 17-15, expected goals 2.64 to 1.34 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Empoli's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roma led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Empoli and 3.17 for Roma.
What was the final score of Empoli vs Roma?
Empoli 2-1 Roma in the Italy - Serie A on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Empoli vs Roma?
Before kick-off our model rated a Empoli win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Empoli 37%, draw 30%, Roma 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Empoli), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.