Frosinone 0-1 Udinese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.74
Over 2.5
52%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.96
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
3.94
6+ Goals
9%
17.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.47
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
8%
12.2
X/1
15%
5.29
X/2
13%
6.21
X/X
11%
4.01
2/1
5%
29.5
2/2
17%
4.37
2/X
8%
12.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-3.3pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.8pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+6.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
54%
-5.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
46%
+5.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Frosinone EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Udinese EU Bookmakers 34%
+12% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -12%
1.37/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.15
+39% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 79%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
21.1 Crosses 17.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Frosinone
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Udinese
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.67 xG 1.30
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
307 Passes 351
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 17
31 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2023 Udinese Udinese 0-0 HT 0-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTA
12.05.2019 Frosinone Frosinone 1-3 HT 0-3 Udinese Udinese İTA
22.12.2018 Udinese Udinese 1-1 HT 1-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTA
12.08.2017 Udinese Udinese 3-2 HT 1-1 Frosinone Frosinone İTK
06.03.2016 Frosinone Frosinone 2-0 HT 1-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
25.10.2015 Udinese Udinese 1-0 HT 1-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Frosinone
0-1
AWAY Udinese
0.80 xG 0.78
58% Ball Possession 42%
21 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 1
296 Passes 185
79% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Frosinone vs Udinese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Udinese squeezed past Frosinone 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Udinese made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Frosinone had 58% of the ball to Udinese's 42%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 0.80 to 0.78.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Udinese led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Frosinone and 1.33 for Udinese.

What was the final score of Frosinone vs Udinese?

Frosinone 0-1 Udinese in the Italy - Serie A on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Frosinone vs Udinese?

Before kick-off our model rated an Udinese win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Frosinone 36%, draw 27%, Udinese 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Udinese) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Udinese) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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