Hellas Verona 2-2 Inter — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.34
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
54%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.63
2-3 Goals
41%
2.02
4-5 Goals
24%
2.63
6+ Goals
12%
6.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
20%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
15%
+8.1pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.3pp
54%
Away Win
66%
-11.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.0pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hellas Verona EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter EU Bookmakers 70%
+3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +10%
0.95/1.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.14/0.88
+10% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +26%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
286 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 423 · 83%
14.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.8
17.7 Crosses 23.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hellas Verona
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Inter
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.89 xG 1.68
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
296 Passes 434
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.01.2024 Inter Inter 2-1 HT 1-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
03.05.2023 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 0-6 HT 0-3 Inter Inter İTA
14.01.2023 Inter Inter 1-0 HT 1-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
09.04.2022 Inter Inter 2-0 HT 2-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
27.08.2021 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 1-3 HT 1-0 Inter Inter İTA
25.04.2021 Inter Inter 1-0 HT 0-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hellas Verona
2-2
AWAY Inter
1.75 xG 2.38
35% Ball Possession 65%
18 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 11
9 Corners 3
238 Passes 514
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
17 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hellas Verona vs Inter
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hellas Verona and Inter couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match lean was Inter at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hellas Verona had 35% of the ball to Inter's 65%, shots finished 18-15, expected goals 1.75 to 2.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Hellas Verona and 2.50 for Inter.

What was the final score of Hellas Verona vs Inter?

Hellas Verona 2-2 Inter in the Italy - Serie A on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hellas Verona vs Inter?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Hellas Verona 23%, draw 22%, Inter 54%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Inter) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inter) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTA More Italy - Serie A
26 May 2024
19:00 Atalanta vs Torino Analysis →
19:00 Napoli vs Lecce Analysis →
21:45 Empoli vs Roma Analysis →
21:45 Frosinone vs Udinese Analysis →
21:45 Lazio vs Sassuolo Analysis →