Inter 2-1 Hellas Verona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.22
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
16%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.51
Over 2.5
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.59
2-3 Goals
37%
2.02
4-5 Goals
26%
2.65
6+ Goals
13%
6.37
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.34
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
10%
29.0
X/1
17%
3.38
X/2
4%
28.0
X/X
5%
9.63
2/1
9%
23.45
2/2
7%
21.75
2/X
5%
28.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
77%
-13.6pp
20%
Draw
14%
+5.4pp
17%
Away Win
8%
+8.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.1pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Hellas Verona EU Bookmakers 11%
-6% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
2.20/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.59
+7% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +30%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
452 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 78%
33.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
25.4 Crosses 15.4
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Hellas Verona
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.66 xG 0.91
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
433 Passes 298
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2023 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 0-6 HT 0-3 Inter Inter İTA
14.01.2023 Inter Inter 1-0 HT 1-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
09.04.2022 Inter Inter 2-0 HT 2-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
27.08.2021 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 1-3 HT 1-0 Inter Inter İTA
25.04.2021 Inter Inter 1-0 HT 0-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
23.12.2020 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 1-2 HT 0-0 Inter Inter İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter
2-1
AWAY Hellas Verona
1.90 xG 1.34
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 0
426 Passes 236
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
27 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Inter vs Hellas Verona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter edged past Hellas Verona 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Inter as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Inter had 61% of the ball to Hellas Verona's 39%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.90 to 1.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Inter and 0.33 for Hellas Verona.

What was the final score of Inter vs Hellas Verona?

Inter 2-1 Hellas Verona in the Italy - Serie A on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter vs Hellas Verona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Inter 64%, draw 20%, Hellas Verona 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Inter) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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