Atalanta 3-0 Torino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.12
2-3 Goals
43%
1.85
4-5 Goals
21%
3.05
6+ Goals
10%
9.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.4
1/2
9%
27.5
1/X
8%
12.25
X/1
18%
5.57
X/2
9%
6.04
X/X
11%
4.99
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
25.5
2/2
17%
3.8
2/X
7%
12.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.9pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atalanta EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Torino EU Bookmakers 38%
-2% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +21%
1.49/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.06
+4% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
20.6 Crosses 17.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atalanta
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Torino
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.51 xG 1.45
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
318 Passes 375
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.12.2023 Torino Torino 3-0 HT 1-0 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
29.04.2023 Torino Torino 1-2 HT 0-1 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
01.09.2022 Atalanta Atalanta 3-1 HT 1-0 Torino Torino İTA
27.04.2022 Atalanta Atalanta 4-4 HT 2-2 Torino Torino İTA
21.08.2021 Torino Torino 1-2 HT 0-1 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
06.02.2021 Atalanta Atalanta 3-3 HT 3-2 Torino Torino İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atalanta
3-0
AWAY Torino
2.62 xG 1.06
40% Ball Possession 60%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 5
306 Passes 498
83% Pass Accuracy 89%
35 Box Touches 12
11 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atalanta vs Torino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atalanta swept aside Torino 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Atalanta made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Atalanta had 40% of the ball to Torino's 60%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 2.62 to 1.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atalanta had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Atalanta and 2.17 for Torino.

What was the final score of Atalanta vs Torino?

Atalanta 3-0 Torino in the Italy - Serie A on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atalanta vs Torino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atalanta win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Atalanta 39%, draw 27%, Torino 34%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atalanta) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atalanta) ✗ BTTS Yes
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