Lazio vs Sassuolo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lazio v Sassuolo — Team-Based Signals
Lazio vs Sassuolo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-2
Lazio
İTA
2-0
HT 1-0
Sassuolo
İTA
0-2
HT 0-1
Lazio
İTA
2-1
HT 1-0
Sassuolo
İTA
2-1
HT 0-1
Lazio
İTA
1-1
HT 1-1
Sassuolo
HAZ
Lazio 1-1 Sassuolo — Actual Match Statistics
Lazio and Sassuolo shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Lazio at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Lazio had 69% of the ball to Sassuolo's 31%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 1.03 to 1.11.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lazio had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Lazio and 0.67 for Sassuolo.
What was the final score of Lazio vs Sassuolo?
Lazio 1-1 Sassuolo in the Italy - Serie A on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lazio vs Sassuolo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lazio win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Lazio 52%, draw 24%, Sassuolo 24%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.