Napoli 0-0 Lecce — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 26 May 2024

Napoli
0-0 HT 0-0
Lecce
📅26/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.43
Over 2.5
53%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.26
2-3 Goals
39%
1.98
4-5 Goals
25%
2.7
6+ Goals
13%
6.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
66%
-12.5pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.3pp
24%
Away Win
14%
+9.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.6pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napoli EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Lecce EU Bookmakers 17%
-7% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
1.67/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.51
-8% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
427 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 79%
31.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
19.9 Crosses 15.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napoli
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Lecce
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.39 xG 1.18
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
550 Passes 273
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.09.2023 Lecce Lecce 0-4 HT 0-1 Napoli Napoli İTA
07.04.2023 Lecce Lecce 1-2 HT 0-1 Napoli Napoli İTA
31.08.2022 Napoli Napoli 1-1 HT 1-1 Lecce Lecce İTA
09.02.2020 Napoli Napoli 2-3 HT 0-1 Lecce Lecce İTA
22.09.2019 Lecce Lecce 1-4 HT 0-2 Napoli Napoli İTA
25.04.2012 Lecce Lecce 0-2 HT 0-1 Napoli Napoli İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napoli
0-0
AWAY Lecce
1.52 xG 0.50
67% Ball Possession 33%
24 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 1
597 Passes 242
89% Pass Accuracy 74%
34 Box Touches 9
17 Crosses 8
POST-MATCH Napoli vs Lecce
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Napoli and Lecce played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Napoli at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Napoli had 67% of the ball to Lecce's 33%, shots finished 24-10, expected goals 1.52 to 0.50.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Napoli had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Napoli and 1.00 for Lecce.

What was the final score of Napoli vs Lecce?

Napoli 0-0 Lecce in the Italy - Serie A on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napoli vs Lecce?

Before kick-off our model rated a Napoli win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Napoli 54%, draw 23%, Lecce 24%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Napoli) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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