Fiorentina 0-0 Venezia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 25 Aug 2024

Fiorentina
0-0 HT 0-0
Venezia
📅25/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Fiorentina vs Venezia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
17%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.85
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
26%
3.19
6+ Goals
13%
10.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.84
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
4%
17.45
X/1
20%
3.62
X/2
6%
12.45
X/X
10%
6.05
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
22.3
2/2
7%
9.86
2/X
7%
18.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.3 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
63%
-1.8pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.5pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+1.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.3pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fiorentina v Venezia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorentina EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Venezia EU Bookmakers 19%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +15%
1.85/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.58
-1% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +16%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
432 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 75%
33.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
24.2 Crosses 14.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.2

Fiorentina vs Venezia Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fiorentina
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Venezia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.75 xG 0.59
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
506 Passes 229
88% Pass Accuracy 74%
33 Box Touches 9
20 Crosses 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.04.2022 Fiorentina Fiorentina 1-0 HT 1-0 Venezia Venezia İTA
18.10.2021 Venezia Venezia 1-0 HT 1-0 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
14.12.2003 Fiorentina Fiorentina 1-1 HT 0-1 Venezia Venezia İTB
10.02.2002 Venezia Venezia 2-0 HT 1-0 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
30.09.2001 Fiorentina Fiorentina 3-1 HT 1-0 Venezia Venezia İTA

Fiorentina 0-0 Venezia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fiorentina
0-0
AWAY Venezia
0.89 xG 0.63
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
364 Passes 291
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fiorentina vs Venezia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina and Venezia played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

This one beat our numbers. Fiorentina carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fiorentina had 55% of the ball to Venezia's 45%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 0.89 to 0.63.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fiorentina and 1.00 for Venezia.

What was the final score of Fiorentina vs Venezia?

Fiorentina 0-0 Venezia in the Italy - Serie A on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorentina vs Venezia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina 61%, draw 22%, Venezia 17%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fiorentina) ✗ Over 2.5
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