Napoli 3-0 Bologna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.95
No
47%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.7
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.34
6+ Goals
12%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.69
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.15
X/1
16%
4.21
X/2
13%
7.53
X/X
13%
4.18
2/1
9%
28.0
2/2
8%
6.1
2/X
8%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.6pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.5pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.4pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napoli EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Bologna EU Bookmakers 28%
-1% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +15%
1.49/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.19
+16% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +27%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
408 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
17.5 Crosses 13.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napoli
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Bologna
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.11 xG 1.01
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
481 Passes 372
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
29 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2024 Napoli Napoli 0-2 HT 0-2 Bologna Bologna İTA
24.09.2023 Bologna Bologna 0-0 HT 0-0 Napoli Napoli İTA
28.05.2023 Bologna Bologna 2-2 HT 0-1 Napoli Napoli İTA
16.10.2022 Napoli Napoli 3-2 HT 1-1 Bologna Bologna İTA
17.01.2022 Bologna Bologna 0-2 HT 0-1 Napoli Napoli İTA
28.10.2021 Napoli Napoli 3-0 HT 2-0 Bologna Bologna İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napoli
3-0
AWAY Bologna
2.46 xG 0.64
39% Ball Possession 61%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
263 Passes 458
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
25 Box Touches 12
12 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Napoli vs Bologna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Napoli swept aside Bologna 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Napoli as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Napoli had 39% of the ball to Bologna's 61%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 2.46 to 0.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Napoli had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Napoli and 1.00 for Bologna.

What was the final score of Napoli vs Bologna?

Napoli 3-0 Bologna in the Italy - Serie A on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napoli vs Bologna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Napoli win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Napoli 42%, draw 31%, Bologna 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Napoli) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Napoli) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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