Chemie Leipzig 1-3 Luckenwalde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.96
Draw
35%
3.35
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.9
Over 2.5
42%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
47%
-10.4pp
36%
Draw
26%
+9.2pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
49%
+9.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
51%
-9.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.7pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chemie Leipzig EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Luckenwalde EU Bookmakers 30%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.17/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.75
-31% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chemie Leipzig
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Luckenwalde
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.08.2024 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 0-0 HT 0-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
21.02.2024 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 1-1 HT 1-1 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
10.02.2023 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 1-2 HT 0-2 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
19.08.2022 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 2-2 HT 2-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
05.03.2022 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 5-3 HT 2-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
31.08.2021 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 1-2 HT 1-2 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Chemie Leipzig vs Luckenwalde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luckenwalde got the better of Chemie Leipzig 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 36% / 28% — and on the day Luckenwalde made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luckenwalde led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Chemie Leipzig and 2.00 for Luckenwalde.

What was the final score of Chemie Leipzig vs Luckenwalde?

Chemie Leipzig 1-3 Luckenwalde in the Germany - Regional League on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chemie Leipzig vs Luckenwalde?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chemie Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Chemie Leipzig 37%, draw 36%, Luckenwalde 28%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chemie Leipzig) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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