Düren Merzenich 0-0 Fortuna Köln — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 1 Feb 2025

Düren Merzenich
0-0 HT 0-0
Fortuna Köln
📅01/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2024/2025

Düren Merzenich vs Fortuna Köln Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.08
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
29%
-2.5pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.7pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-1.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Düren Merzenich v Fortuna Köln — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Düren Merzenich EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Köln EU Bookmakers 46%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -6%
1.78/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.10
+31% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
294 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6

Düren Merzenich vs Fortuna Köln Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Düren Merzenich
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Fortuna Köln
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.08.2024 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 1-0 HT 0-0 Düren Merzenich Düren Merzenich ALMBÖL
20.04.2024 Düren Merzenich Düren Merzenich 2-2 HT 1-2 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
27.10.2023 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 1-0 HT 1-0 Düren Merzenich Düren Merzenich ALMBÖL
07.09.2023 Düren Merzenich Düren Merzenich 3-0 HT 0-0 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln HAZ
01.04.2023 Düren Merzenich Düren Merzenich 3-2 HT 1-1 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
07.10.2022 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 3-2 HT 2-0 Düren Merzenich Düren Merzenich ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Düren Merzenich vs Fortuna Köln
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Düren Merzenich and Fortuna Köln fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Fortuna Köln at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortuna Köln led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Düren Merzenich and 1.50 for Fortuna Köln.

What was the final score of Düren Merzenich vs Fortuna Köln?

Düren Merzenich 0-0 Fortuna Köln in the Germany - Regional League on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Düren Merzenich vs Fortuna Köln?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fortuna Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Düren Merzenich 27%, draw 32%, Fortuna Köln 41%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fortuna Köln) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fortuna Köln) ✓ Under 2.5
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